Seasonal prediction of blocking frequency : Results from winter ensemble experiments (CROSBI ID 163549)
Prilog u časopisu | izvorni znanstveni rad | međunarodna recenzija
Podaci o odgovornosti
Pavan, V. ; Tibaldi, S. ; Branković, Čedomir
engleski
Seasonal prediction of blocking frequency : Results from winter ensemble experiments
The patterns which explain the largest fraction of the large-scale variability over the Euro-Atlantic and the Pacific regions are described using the National Centers for Environmental Predictions analysis data. In the description, special attention is given to the relation between these patterns and local weather regimes. The dynamical characteristics of each regime are found to be dependent on its relation with the basic flow over the region of ots location. The ability of the ECMWF T63L31 model in predicting the evolution of these large-scale patterns and associated weather regimes during winter is quantitatively estimated. The skill of the model prediction is shown to depend substantially on the pattern considered.
blocking; ensemble simulations; seasonal predictability
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Podaci o izdanju
126 (567)
2000.
2125-2142
objavljeno
0035-9009
10.1002/qj.49712656708