engleski

Modeling of Risk Assessment Support System for Outdoor Recreation in Croatia

Due to increasing number of incidents occurring during outdoor recreation in Croatia, idea and motivation for research and development of the model for risk assessment support system for outdoor activities arises. In order to reduce human and financial losses, more effort has to be made to understand the opportunities and the importance of using spatial analysis for risk management with an emphasis on the quality of input spatial data as the basis for risk analysis, assessment and risk mapping. Using combination of environmental, spatial and social data we conducted simulation on real world data from Croatian National Protection and Rescue Directorate. This paper seeks to improve the existing approaches to risk assessment, and to develop and define a model for risk assessment and public service for introduction to incident likelihood and spatial allocation of resources where incidents are likely going to occur resulting with risk reduction.

risk assessment modeling ; outdoor recreation ; incident likelihood ; geospatial analysis ; Croatia

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